Commentaries
Ukraine: Perception Shapes Victory and Defeat
In March 1918 Imperial Germany was preparing to accept the surrender of revolution-torn Russia. By November of that year, it was Germany that for a brief period, when the military […]
EU strategy and foreign policy
Publications
Uncovering uncomfortable truths: the geopolitics of EU gas imports in the aftermath of the invasion of Ukraine
With the conclusion of the winter season, it appears that the European Union (EU) has successfully avoided the anticipated gas shortages and blackouts. This outcome can be attributed to a […]
Commentaries
High Time for Sweden’s NATO Membership
In 2014, after the first Russian invasion of Ukraine, I called for Finland and Sweden to join the Alliance and explained why it was time for “Nordic NATO”. *****
Russia’s Hybrid Wars Come to Sudan
Russia, and Wagner, unlike Europe, have skin in the Sudan game. So do Turkey, Egypt, and the Gulf States. If this is not enough for Europe to take a much […]
Commentaries
New technologies, new threats, new budgets
Generative AI today, and Quantum Computing tomorrow, pose new geopolitical realities and threats, some of which are already known. Mass de-encryption of data will be one of the threats posed […]
Commentaries
EU-China: we have to talk about (not Macron but) strategy
Most people don’t like to hear inconvenient truths, especially not, it seems, from the President of France. Yet when Macron says that the European Union should become the third pole, […]